Negative Peace: Characterizing Conditions “Short of War” (Forward Observer Radio) – Forward Observer Shop

Negative Peace: Characterizing Conditions “Short of War” (Forward Observer Radio)

What is peace?

In terms of national defense or warfighting or conflict, peace can simply be defined as the absence of war. But I don’t think anyone in America right now would characterize the country as being at peace with itself. In many ways, it’s a country greatly divided. We can develop some logical conclusions as to the outcome, or where a solution may be found. But we can say that without a doubt America is not yet at war, but it’s also not at peace.

Military strategists have a term for this, and it’s called Negative Peace. It’s the absence of armed conflict, but it can be anything but peaceful.

On today’s show, I’m talking about Negative Peace — the “absence of war” — and what that looks like. What does current and historical defense doctrine tell us about Negative Peace and how can we look for indicators that peace is breaking?


Show listeners can take 25% off a Forward Observer intelligence subscription with coupon code GLUBB. Sir John Glubb wrote “The Fate of Empires”, an essay about the rise and collapse of empires throughout history. Does his essay describe a late stage American Empire? Find out here.

SponsorReady Made Resources


Show Links

The ACE Blog: Essential Elements of Community Security

National Intelligence

Strategic Intelligence



Show Notes

Use coupon code GLUBB for 25% off any of our subscriptions, including the Area Intelligence Course.

Subscribers get access to Forward Observer’s Manual Summary of the Combat Commanders Handbook on Intelligence. Download it from the FO Library.

Mike Shelby is a former military intelligence NCO and contract intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan and is now the intelligence and warfare researcher at Forward Observer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Name *