Historian: “Next Civil War Will Be Worse Than Our Last” – Forward Observer Shop

Historian: “Next Civil War Will Be Worse Than Our Last”

Look, I know that there are those who scoff at the idea of “America’s next civil war”.

Maybe it’s because they don’t comprehend the magnitude of our cultural division. Maybe it’s because the term “civil war” conjures up images of tanks and bombers because that’s about as far as their understanding of warfare reaches. Maybe the thought is painful, so they dismiss and avoid it. (Avoidance is a coping strategy, but to paraphrase the words of Ayn Rand: “You can ignore reality, but you can’t ignore the consequences of reality.”)

If we can admit that warfare encompasses high intensity fighting (like tanks and bombers), then we need to take a look at the low intensity, too. This “Low Intensity Conflict” includes violence, but it also features other forms of warfare that we are, without a doubt, seeing today.

In fact, we are seeing every single indicator of a low intensity conflict right now, and that’s the basis for my reasoning that a domestic conflict has already started. (Overviews of the reasoning are here and here.)

I have no crystal ball and I can’t tell you exactly how bad it will get or when it will end, but I am confident in two things:

  1. It’s already started.
  2. It will get worse before it’s solved, if a solution can be found.

Earlier this year, noted history H. W. Crocker III wrote an opinion piece entitled, “America’s Next Civil War Will Be Worse Than Our Last”. Comparing 1861 to today, he writes:

Today, however, our divisions are so deep and fundamental that Americans cannot even agree on what marriage is or what a man or a woman is (which is pretty darn fundamental).

The lunatic self-righteousness of the Left (and yes, I’m afraid one must point fingers here), where disagreement is bigotry to be prohibited by law or even condemned and prosecuted as treason, is a consuming, destructive fire that will not be easily quenched, and cannot be reached by cool waters of rational argument.

If America is to come together again, it will do so only through the restoration of… a common culture that emerges from a shared and sympathetic understanding of our past… [source]

Speaking of that common culture and shared past, the historian points out how determined the Left is to attack our country’s history, and the cultural benefits of our heritage.

New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, evidence of the Left’s push farther Left, recently said, “We’re not going to make America great again. It was never that great.” That man may have been run out of town just 20 years ago for that remark, but today it’s becoming commonplace sentiment.

History is kind to show us that culture gaps produce conflict, and often conflicts of culture, national identity, and control of a country produce armed conflict.

We love our country deeply. That’s why we track the progression of this domestic conflict.

Our analysts are intelligence and special operations veterans who stay ‘out front’ in the culture war.

And just like we did in Iraq and Afghanistan (and elsewhere), we produce intelligence that can increase your situational understanding and reduce your uncertainty about the future.

Ultimately, our work is about creating better informed Americans ready to tackle the security challenges ahead.

If you’re concerned about where we’re headed as a country and you want to stay informed on what the headlines don’t cover, then I invite you to try us out.  If you’re not happy within the first two weeks, I’ll refund your subscription cost – no questions asked. You can get access to our intelligence reporting and training area here.

Always Out Front,

Samuel Culper




Mike Shelby is a former military intelligence NCO and contract intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan and is now the intelligence and warfare researcher at Forward Observer.


  1. Hey, Sam!
    Keep up the good work. I told close friends that CW2 already started. We will look back on when that guy ran over that Anti-Fa woman with his car — a notable moment whether or not it was as the Left portrayed it. I am, to my colleagues, a horrible person because I refuse to denounce the current President. Imagine that. They call me dirty names, like ‘racist,’ even though my extended family far from lily white.

    To me, it is clear — the game is on.
    I am an American diplomat and have a Ph.D. in history.

  2. Civil War II Checklist by Thomas Chittum

    Item 1: Every time you see a blank for your ethnic group on a form, think Civil War II.

    Item 2: If the millions of illegal aliens in America are granted amnesty and get the vote, it will mean open immigration and a giant step towards Civil War II.

    Item 3: The abolition of the right to bear arms.

    Item 4: Watch for racially split juries.

    Item 5: Watch for the military to assume police duties.

    Item 6: Watch for the establishment of an elite military force outside the chain of command of the regular military to serve as an internal counterinsurgency force.

    Item 7: Watch for Washington D.C. to increasingly resemble the capital of some banana republic under siege by revolutionaries and mobs.

    Item 8: Resegregation: Watch for Africans and other minorities demanding, and often getting, separate facilities for themselves, another clear sign that they’re continuing to reject co-option.

    Item 9: Watch for further replacement of individual rights by group rights, group rights based on ethnic group.

    Item 10: Watch for non-governmental organizations acquiring military power.

    Item 11: Watch for real political power to continue to shift from our elected officials to the courts, and thus away from the American people.

    Item 12: Watch for more instances of real political power flowing from American institutions to international bodies, thus again flowing away from American citizens.

    Item 13: Watch for minorities and radical whites to continue to seize control of American institutions.

    Item 14: Watch for secessionist movements and other movements seeking autonomy on American soil.

    Item 15: Watch for race-based political parties, a sure sign of racial polarization.

    Item 16: Watch for the emergence of “no-go” areas for the police in our cities, areas abandoned by the police and left to the control of street gangs.

    Item 17: Watch for a so-called slave tax refund or some similar vehicle that will automatically subsidize all blacks for life

    Item 18: Watch for court orders and other schemes mandating more voting districts in which blacks are intentionally a majority.

    Item 19: Watch other multi ethnic empires for ethnic violence, a general loss of democracy, increasing poverty, waves of refugees, and their actual breakup in ethnic warfare.

    Item 20: Watch for the spread of walled suburbs, euphemistically labeled as gated communities.

    Item 21: Watch for more mind control hoaxes by the establishment media.

    Item 22: Watch for an increasing percentage of minorities in our military, the use of foreigners in our military, the use of UN troops on our soil, or even the establishment of an American Foreign Legion.

    Item 23: Watch for more out of court settlements in cases of alleged racial discrimination.

    Item 24: Watch for more restrictions on freedom of speech by the government and the establishment media.

    Item 25: Watch for police to increasingly abandon their traditional uniforms for ones that resemble military and secret police uniforms in their dark color or camouflage, military helmets, opaque face shields, and absence of name tags.

    Item 26: Watch for clandestine groups of white officers to form within our federal, state and local police – groups similar to the Resistors in the Green Berets.

    Item 27: Watch for an arm of the federal government charged with promoting racist affirmative action, such as the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, to acquire agents that carry guns and have the power to make arrests.

    Item 28: Watch for the collapse of the US dollar as the world’s premier currency. This will be the signal that will confirm our status as a third-world nation.

    Item 29: Watch for growing geographic segregation and its increasing mention in the establishment press.

    Item 30: Watch for signs that the global military equation and American dominance in it are being challenged.

    Item 31: Watch for the breakup of Canada. If Canada does break up along ethnic and linguistic lines, it will bode ill for its neighbor which is an even worse multiethnic and multilingual mishmash.

    Item 32: Watch for an increased flow of Americans immigrating to Canada.

    Item 33: Watch for political and legal organizations formed along ethnic lines that will parallel, and ultimately displace their official rivals.

    Item 34: Watch for more help wanted ads stating that job applicants must be bilingual.

    Item 35: Watch for indications that the UN is assuming the role of a world government, and that the US is losing even more of its national sovereignty to the UN.

    Item 36: Watch for a certain picture. We’ve all seen this picture countless times before, a picture from Beirut, Budapest, Afghanistan, Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Yugoslavia, Somalia – a burnt-out tank, perhaps the charred corpse of a crewman protruding through a hatch, and jubilant rebels posing atop the tank waving assault rifles and a flag. Someday we shall see this picture in our newspapers yet again, and this time taken on American soil. The tank, the dead crewman, and rebels will all be Americans, All will be American except the flag, which will be a Mexican, Aztlan, New Africa, or Confederate flag. When we see this picture, it will be too late. Civil War II will be upon us.

  3. The war between the states (AKA War of Northern Aggression) was not a civil war. The closest we’ve come to civil war in the past was the war for independence which, arguably, was a civil war.

    The south simply sought to be left alone. Lincoln refused to let the south go, and so provoked a war of conquest. It was a war between two sovereign polities. Civil Wars start out chaotic, and get real nasty until the battle lines shake out and it becomes a more conventional war.

  4. Sam, thanks for the work you do for informing me and others. What naggs in my head is the bio-warfare that can be cooked up in the basement of some skool and the released. Yes maybe the real zombies will coma-knocking. Many are dead from outbreaks of ???? on airplanes ,boats, crop dusters stolen. Dirty bomb type stuff,generated by selfish Commies and Hippy’s.

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