Early Warning for 28 November – Forward Observer Shop

Early Warning for 28 November

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Good morning. Here’s your Early Warning for Tuesday, 28 November.

The House Armed Services Committee is reporting this morning that the number of U.S. troops killed in plane crashes is up 131% in the past year. Compared to 16 last year, the number of deaths in non-combat plane crashes rose to 37 this year. While accidents will occur, this is very concerning — not only for the loss of life, but also because the White House wants to increase the operational tempo of the military, in general. Following this year’s preventable accidents in the 7th Fleet in Southeast Asia, which claimed the lives of numerous Navy sailors, we can expect increased training deaths unless the Pentagon and military leaders first get a handle on maintenance and safety. These trends would also make a conflict more costly due an increase in non-combat related deaths and injuries. Additional intelligence reporting on the U.S. military will appear in this week’s edition of Strategic Intelligence.

Since 2010, labor force participation in red states has trailed that of blue states, which may lead to increased political polarization. According to the Institute of International Finance (IIF), causes may include changing demographics, the opioid epidemic, and poor jobs recovery in red state major economic sectors. I’ll have more on this story in today’s Forward Observer Radio show.


Join me on Forward Observer Radio today at 2pm Central as we talk about current and future events, national and community security, and more. You can listen live on Spreaker or catch the podcast edition on iTunes.

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Looking for the fair and accurate reporting? Each week, the analysts at Forward Observer produce two full-length intelligence newsletters. Strategic Intelligence focuses on the risk of war, systems disruption, and other strategic threats affecting the United States. And Low Intensity Conflict is a weekly look at the development of domestic conflict, revolutionary political movements, tribal violence, and other factors that disrupt our “civil” society.

Mike Shelby is a former military intelligence NCO and contract intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan and is now the intelligence and warfare researcher at Forward Observer.

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