Early Warning for 27 August 2018 – Forward Observer Shop

Early Warning for 27 August 2018

Good morning. Here’s your Early Warning for Monday, 27 August 2018. (All times Eastern.)


White House

The President is scheduled to have lunch with the Vice President, and then meet with the president of Kenya and other officials.


State Department

Secretary Pompeo is scheduled to meet with Kenyan officials.



Defense Department

Defense Secretary Mattis: nothing significant to report.

SECDEF is scheduled to be in the Indo-Pacific in September and will then travel to Europe.


The Carl Vinson (CVN-70) was last reported as having returned to port in San Diego.

The Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) was last reported off the coast of Florida.

The John Stennis (CVN-74) was last reported back as participating in an exercise off the coast of southern California.

The Harry S. Truman (CVN-75) was last reported in port at Norfolk.

The Ronald Reagan (CVN-76) was last reported in the East China Sea.

The George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) was last reported as having returned to port in Norfolk.

Conflict requiring a Carrier Strike Group does not appear imminent.



Significant House Activity:

  • Nothing significant to report.

Significant Senate Activity:

  • Nothing significant to report.

* Reporting will appear in the Strategic Intelligence Summary or National Intelligence Bulletin.



– Although last week’s tariff talks with China failed, market futures were up this morning on reports that U.S. trade representatives are making progress with Mexico on renegotiating NAFTA.



The National Hurricane Center reports nothing significant for the Atlantic Ocean, although Tropical Storm Miriam is expected to become a hurricane in the Pacific and possibly threaten Hawaii.

REMINDER: This hurricane watch section will remain in this report through the end of the season. I check the latest from the National Hurricane Center each morning and will provide details as necessary.


Drought conditions persist across much of the Southwest. This map is updated every Thursday.



What I’m Looking at this Morning

Europe takes a second look at conscription

Navy’s Second Fleet AOR to extend to Russian waters

DPRK: U.S. planning war with a smile on its face


Notable Quotable

“There is a strategy here that is being pursued that says…that short-term pain can lead to significant long-term gain, and we’ll just have to see whether that’s how it plays out.” – Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic on Trump’s tariff hard ball strategy with China

Mike Shelby is a former military intelligence NCO and contract intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan and is now the intelligence and warfare researcher at Forward Observer.

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