Early Warning for 24 October 2018

Good morning. Here’s your Early Warning for Wednesday, 24 October 2018. (All times Central.)


White House

The President is scheduled to deliver remarks on combating the U.S. opioid epidemic and then fly to Wisconsin to hold a Make America Great Again rally.


State Department

Secretary Pompeo: Nothing significant to report.


Defense Department

Defense Secretary Mattis and other senior officials have no publicly scheduled events.

Deployments: The Wasp Expeditionary Strike Group was last reported as underway in the South China Sea. The Iwo Jima Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) was last reported as underway in the Atlantic to participate in Trident Juncture 2018 in Norway. Along with the Iwo Jima ARG are Marines from the 24th Marine Expeditionary Unit who will be joining 700 Marines already in Norway. Trident Juncture 2018 began on 15 October, but most of the exercise will take place between 25 October and 07 November.


These are the last publicly reported locations of these ships. Conflict requiring an aircraft carrier/carrier strike group does not appear imminent.

The Carl Vinson (CVN-70) was last reported as being underway in the Pacific Ocean.

The Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) was last reported as being in port at Norfolk, but will be transitioning to a new home port in San Diego.

The John Stennis (CVN-74) was last reported as being underway in the eastern Pacific as it begins its shift to a new homeport in Norfolk.

The Harry Truman (CVN-75) was last reported as being in the Norwegian Sea. The carrier strike group is participating in the Trident Juncture 2018 exercise in Norway.

*The Ronald Reagan (CVN-76) was last reported as being in the Philippine Sea.

The George H. W. Bush (CVN-77) was last reported as having returned to port in Norfolk.

* Indicates changes to last reported location or other amplifying information.



Significant House Activity:

  • Nothing significant to report.

Significant Senate Activity:

  • Nothing significant to report.

* Only events pertinent to national security are listed.
** Significant reporting will appear in this week’s Strategic and National Intelligence reports.



President Trump harped again on the Federal Reserve policy of raising interest rates. “Every time we do something great, he raises the interest rates,” the president said, referring to Fed chair Jerome Powell. The Fed says they’re raising interest rates to keep down inflation and prevent the economy from overheating, but President Trump accuses the Fed of needlessly slowing economic growth.


HurricaneWatch: The National Hurricane Center reports one disturbance east of the Caribbean. About 39 days remain in “hurricane season,” which ends on 30 November. [source]


The latest wildfire map will appear each Monday.

The latest drought map will appear in this report each Thursday.


What I’m Looking at this Morning

European and Asian nations join U.S. push back against China

Arab states fear Khashoggi murder could fuel regional instability

Suspicious packages sent to homes of Clintons, Obamas


Notable Quotable

“People don’t want to hear it, but the [Democratic Party] badly misplayed the Kavanaugh hearings. Like Hillary, they lack a message and their leaders lack heart and unless trends change… Democrats are going to wake up to the same kind of political reckoning they did two years ago [i.e., losing].” – MNBC’s Morning Joe co-host Mike Brzezinski

Samuel Culper is a former military intelligence NCO and contract Intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan and is now the intelligence and warfare researcher at Forward Observer.

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