Early Warning for 19 October – Forward Observer Shop

Early Warning for 19 October

Good morning. Here’s your Early Warning for Thursday, 19 October.

Today at 2:30pm Eastern, Alt-Right figure Richard Spencer is scheduled to give a talk at the University of Florida under much controversy. There are planned protests, a heavy policy presence, and even a “state of emergency” that was signed by the governor on Monday. The antifascist community has been very boisterous on Twitter this week, and there have been numerous explicit and implied threats of violence. Generally, Antifa groups do very little under a large police presence. Other speeches by Spencer, like the so-called “Battle of Auburn,” have been relatively peaceful when large amounts of law enforcement are present and enforce anti-mask laws. That said, these events do carry a propensity for violence, and we do expect some violence to occur this afternoon and possibly into the evening. Socialist groups this week promoted a legal defense fundraiser for protestors.

Regardless, this represents an opportunity for violent elements of the Left to clash with others. We will be battle tracking the unrest at https://store.forwardobserver.com/florida, and plotting new developments on the map, in addition to providing a play by play of what’s going on. The best way to follow us in real-time is via Twitter at @FOconflict and the battle tracking map.

This event will take place after we publish today’s Low Intensity Conflict Report, however, we will publish an After Action Review this evening or tomorrow morning for Low Intensity Conflict subscribers.


Low Intensity Conflict is a weekly look at the development of domestic conflict, revolutionary political movements, tribal violence, and other factors that disrupt our “civil” society. Each Thursday, we bring you the latest news and analysis from the front lines of the culture war, and look for ways in which culture is creating violence. Receive this report from our intelligence and special operations veterans through a Monthly or Annual subscription.

Mike Shelby is a former military intelligence NCO and contract intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan and is now the intelligence and warfare researcher at Forward Observer.

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