Early Warning for 11 March 2019

Good morning. Here’s your Early Warning for Monday, 11 March 2019.


Government Today

The President is scheduled to have lunch with Vice President Pence and receive his intelligence briefing.

Secretary Pompeo is scheduled to meet with the Indian foreign secretary, then the King of Jordan.

Acting Defense Secretary Shanahan: Nothing significant to report.



Significant House Activity:

  • The House is expected to pass Resolution 24, “Expressing the sense of Congress that the report of Special Counsel Mueller should be made available to the public and to Congress”.

Significant Senate Activity:

  • Nothing significant to report.

* Only events pertinent to national security are listed. Significant reporting will appear in this week’s Strategic and National Intelligence reports.



These are the last publicly reported locations of deployed carrier groups. Those not listed were last reported in port.

The John Stennis (CVN-74) was last reported as in the Strait of Singapore.

The Ronald Reagan (CVN-76) is forward deployed to Yokosuka, Japan.


Far Left Daily

“You don’t want to divide the country, so you have to think you have such a case that once the case is finished being presented, enough people understand you had to do it [impeachment]… If you do it, you don’t [want to] have half the country saying for the next 30 years: We won the election, you stole it.” – Rep. Jerry Nadler (D-NY)

“When we get to that point, it’ll be time to move [on impeachment] — assuming that the facts lead us to that conclusion, which I suspect that they will. And many agree with me.” – Rep. Hank Johnson (D-GA)

“History will judge whether the GOP is seen as the party that sold its principles to protect a corrupt, criminal president, or the party that put country first, did the right thing and supported the impeachment process.” – Tom Steyer, billionaire Democratic backer who’s funding the impeachment movement

“It’s interesting to me that, when it comes to ‘Medicare for All,’ health care, the response there has been, ‘We need to write a big check. When it comes to tuition-free or debt-free college, the answer has been, ‘We need to write a big check.’ And so, if the issue is compensating the descendants of slaves, I don’t think the argument about writing a big check ought to be the argument that you make, if you’re making an argument that a big check needs to be written for a whole bunch of other stuff. So, if, under the Constitution, we compensate people because we take their property, why wouldn’t you compensate people who actually were property?” – Julian Castro, Democratic presidential candidate

”They chose to work at Fox [News] and they don’t get to hide behind the fact that they’re excellent journalists or anchors. The fact is they work at a place that has done tremendous damage to this country.” – CNN’s Jeff Zucker, on Fox’s news division anchors



President Trump’s latest budget proposal is dead on arrival, according to several Democrats. Trump is requesting $8.6 billion for the border wall. The budget also projects three percent economic growth for the next five years.

Writing in an op-ed last week, former Obama economic advisor Larry Summers warned that the U.S. was in a period of “secular stagnation,” pointing out, by several metrics, this economy is not in great shape. “The result [will be] extremely low interest rates, weak demand, and low growth and inflation, along with the bidding up of the price of existing capital assets.”


What I’m Looking at this Morning

Gerasimov’s Russian “Strategy of Limited Actions”

Explaining climate change: the new role of the TV weather forecaster


Notable Quotable

“Reports in the press that stress the [Venezuelan] military hasn’t shifted miss the point entirely. The point is that they have not sought to arrest Guaido and the National Assembly and the opposition. And I think one reason for that is Maduro fears if he gave that order, it would not be obeyed.” – National security advisor John Bolton

Samuel Culper is a former military intelligence NCO and contract Intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan and is now the intelligence and warfare researcher at Forward Observer.

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