Early Warning for 03 October – Forward Observer Shop

Early Warning for 03 October

Good morning. Here’s your Early Warning for 03 October 2017.

Former White House chief of staff Steve Bannon said last night that despite the renewed calls for gun control legislation, it was “impossible” that Trump would ever support those efforts. “[I]t would be the end of everything,” Bannon texted a reporter from Axios. He also said that the backlash against the president, were he to support gun control measures, would be “actually worse” than if President Trump supported any amnesty bill. Yesterday and into overnight futures trading, firearm manufacturer stocks were higher across the boards as investors are betting on a jump in gun sales after Monday morning’s Las Vegas mass shooting. Social media was predictably abuzz with the narrative that “white men” are the most dangerous demographic in America, which meets one of the Priority Intelligence Requirements for Low Intensity Conflict. I’ll have more on the anti-white rhetoric, which stokes the flames of domestic conflict, in this Thursday’s report.

The top general in Europe is calling for expedited passage for U.S. Army units through European nations after expressing concerns that reduced mobility is hampering U.S. efforts in the region. Last month, Lieutenant General Ben Hodges complained that getting Army units from one European country to another could sometimes be a weeks-long process, and that it needs to be faster. He said recently that “the [NATO] alliance needs to be able to move as quick, or quicker, than Russian Federation forces if we want our deterrent capability to be effective.” Currently, U.S. Army units must submit manifests of equipment and personnel in order to transit a country. A move from Germany to Romania, for instance, would require multiple requests for transit. The issue is expected to be brought up to European Parliament.


—>  This week, Forward Observer launches its newest intelligence subscription. Low Intensity Conflict is a weekly look at the development of domestic conflict, revolutionary political movements, tribal violence, and other factors that disrupt our “civil” society. Each Thursday, we bring you the latest news and analysis from the front lines of the culture war, and look for ways in which culture is creating violence. Receive this report from our intelligence and special operations veterans through a Monthly or Annual subscription.

Mike Shelby is a former military intelligence NCO and contract intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan and is now the intelligence and warfare researcher at Forward Observer.

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