DHS to Roll Out New Orwellian Intelligence Program – Forward Observer Shop

DHS to Roll Out New Orwellian Intelligence Program

The Department of Homeland Security is spending $40 million dollars to fund a “quantitative analysis” program for its  Science and Technology Directorate.  In a grant proposal published this month, DHS calls on colleges and universities to submit plans to support the Center for Homeland Security Quantitative Analysis.

According to the documents, grant winners will support “real-time decision making to address homeland security-related threats and hazards” by conducting research and developing “mission-relevant science and technology.”

“It is DHS’s intent to produce new capabilities and work with partners and stakeholders at all levels to test these capabilities in operational and strategic settings, and then take steps to make these solutions available and useful to agencies at all levels.”

If it sounds Orwellian, it’s because it is Orwellian.  It’s no secret that DHS faces more challenges than it can handle.  When we talk about intelligence and complex problems, I often bring up efficiency.  In order to compete, organizations have to be efficient, otherwise they fall behind, and inefficiencies are a great contributor to falling behind.  Analysis is nearly always the bottleneck in the flow of information to decision makers.  Organizations can collect massive amounts of data, but it’s rarely useful until the information is evaluated by an analyst.  A shortage of analysts typically leads to a shortage of analysis.  When decision makers don’t have evaluated information and insight into the data — what we can call “intelligence” — they often make poor decisions.

The Center for Homeland Security Quantitative Analysis (CHSQA) shall develop the next generation of mathematical, computational, and statistical theories, as well as algorithms, methods, and tools to advance the quantitative analysis capabilities [of DHS].

For the past ten years, organizations have been realizing that the solution to that bottleneck is Big Data analytics — or “quantitative analysis”.  The DHS Quantitative Analysis program is a big data approach to problem-solving that requires massive amounts of data (open source information, especially social media) being fed into databases for storage, retrieval, and analysis.  Algorithms will scan and organize data, find patterns, and then direct analysts to high priority data points.  This greatly speeds up the analysis process — removing the traditional bottleneck — because analysts no longer have to sift through all the collected data.  In other words, this technology will help sift through the haystack and deliver some needles to the analyst.

There’s no doubt that DHS is becoming a domestic intelligence agency.  Whatever reason DHS was created — ostensibly to find terrorists and keep the homeland secure — it’s taking steps that should give us pause.  Does DHS really need these capabilities?

But perhaps the most troubling part of this project is that DHS asks:

At what point do private individuals accept biometrics and data collection as an accepted social process?

Biometrics is going to have a profound and growing impact on American society, as foreshadowed by the desire of DHS to normalize biometric collection of Americans.  I should know.  My last assignment was a Senior Analyst on the Defense Department’s Biometrics Intelligence Program where we tracked down insurgents in Iraq and Afghanistan.

By collecting location information (via cell phones, for instance), social media posts and other open source information, along with biometrics, DHS is going to be able to build a pattern of life analysis for any member of the public.  (To see part of what that looks like, see SPACE Analysis.)  America is entering a Brave New World.

Grant proposals for the Center of Excellence for Homeland Security Quantitative Analysis must be submitted by November.  You can download the Grant Opportunity here.

Mike Shelby is a former military intelligence NCO and contract intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan and is now the intelligence and warfare researcher at Forward Observer.


  1. This is what happends when good intentions go bad. DHS has no reason to be involved in biometric collection. We have FBI, ATF, DEA, NSA, CIA and local law enforcment. Why is DHS even around? You mean to tell me that all of those law enforcement agencies are so under funded and under manned that you need another agency. Its simple really another domestic intel agency specifically for tagging americans. A smoke screen create by dumb whitted politicians influenced by people seeking power and money. Terrorist attacks will always be affective. No way to stop a horde of suicide bombers. Specially when the public is encouraged to be cowardly victims. A comet imact seems like an angel of mercy for our species at this point.

  2. All the mathematical computations that are employed at best give only a cardinal direction of a issue problem or event. It is employed to start a causation or better said probable cause to effect an outcome. The chain of events has to start somewhere, and here it is. The weight given this line of action outweighs all others down the road. This is the sledge hammer used to drive in a finishing nail.
    There are more and better ways to identify, moniter and direct resources to negate negative events. The issue is that what is in place at this time isn’t managed correctly or effectively. The human dynamic is a liquid entity that changes moment to moment situation to situation. Beware of where and when pressure is applied it always manifest negatively somewhere else. The AP/A is a concept that was very highly regarded by decision makers as to where and how funding was spent to counter insurgency leaning provinces in Afghanistan and it worked, this same model, with a few adjustments could be used, legal, and in a passive manner that outweighs any biometric or mathmatic computation ever fashioned.
    (Atmospherics program Afghanistan).

  3. The DHS is about as relevant to American citizen as an appendix, similar to the condition of Obama as President.

  4. Now all we need to do is make sure muslims are appointed to run this program and we will have successfully committed suicide of freedom.

  5. Thanks for the comment in return Sam over at WRSA, read what you wrote about quantitative verses qualitative and couldn’t agree with you more.
    Take it to another level, why go to such lengths bother with appearances of legitimacy if all your intentions are motivated around creating a narrative to do something which has no substantial bearing on the truth to begin with?
    Or is it both, to obtain funds through ulterior means so you can fund the narrative, or is it just the psychopaths style? Or all three? Or more?

    1. mtnforge, I think you’re on target with the possibility that it’s both. They have a desperate need to remain relevant and have the tools to try to stay ahead of the curve. In addition to the need to produce the intelligence that advises policy makers and drives THEIR fight, they also have to produce accurate intelligence. Little is more accurate than the accrued five-year period of someone’s social media posts, and identified pattern of life.

  6. and what is the pourpose of this? i suppose they will profile people, but then what?, what could possibly be the end result of this or its justification?

  7. if people know about all this progarmas apparently the most common reaction is that they will be traumatized, so obedience without justification or cause, if they dont how can this information be used againts them, leverage proof, blacmai, or many other things could be done, so what is the benefit, or the expected result?.

  8. The US was founded and established by European Christians who architect the Constitution and Judicial system based on that religious political system. Proof is when a US President is inaugurated and a witness is called to testify in court, in both instances, the Holy Bible is presented. JEWS AND MUSLIM DO NOT FOLLOW THAT SAME RELIGIOUS BELIEF AND DONT OBEY OR OBIDE TO CHRISTIAN LAW OR RULE FOR GOVERNANCE!!!

    That is why they should not become judges, lawyers or polititians and have no political voice or influence in a Christian foundation system such as the United States or the Christian nations in Europe unless they convert and become Christians!!!


    The problem with the implosion of immigrants in both America and Christian democratic and free european nations is that many of the immigrants are from hostile third world societies of non- European Christians whom were the authors of the founding US Constitution and laws, the illegals and immigrants are non-property owners with little to non assets, who dont have an education and are supportive of socialism or even communism because that is the only political system that can support their living in an unsustainable job market that can’t even provide for the nations current low educated citizens whom have also fallen on government welfare to live on.

    They all will be forced into Communism when the next economic crash comes upon the nation!!!

    Reverse technology that stolen their jobs and bring manufacturing back on the consumer products that everybody buys and uses regularly, even during a slow economy, jobs taken by china that had stabilized and sustain their job market regardless of economy slowdowns !!!

    A nation of diverse and uncommon economic, political and social beliefs destabilizes the nations strong common direction for long term political agenda.

    A house divided, will not stand, that is why a strong muslim nation, stays muslim. A strong population of Christians, remains on christian policies, once destabilized and mixed together, all the foreigners in society are trying to take control over the established political system, as they are busy resolving their differences, then a totally different (Communist agenda) group comes in and sells the idea that their progressive political agenda will resolve the issue.

    A strong same religious nation with many people to support a common goal or objective will then have to be taken over by bloodshed and brutal force to make it change to another nations political policies.

    When divided, foreign group can move in and convince that their communist agenda policy will resolve the political and social conflict and concur all.

    Traditional European Christian Society, Christian Socialism, the people are authoritive rule over labor unions and government. To rule by a council (Congress) elected by the people for representation were decisions by majority vote of the people who are economically, politically and socially equal so that no one in society has any economic or political advantage over anybody else, for a true fair and democratic society were everyone has a voice in political policy making. A free market and free society of the people, by the people that serves the interests of the people. Bribery and kickbacks (the biggest sin that took down Christ, written down in the first four books of the new Testament because of its importance) is illegal and not permissible in this society because it steals and robs political authority from the people. The police only exist to serve and protect the people and their interest and responds when in conflict of resolve. The accused is innocent until they are proven guilty in a fair trial based on common law that states that there is no crime committed unless a victim comes foreward and wants resolve for crimes committed resulting in personal injury, death, damage or theft to private property and infringement against another persons liberties, constitutional rights or freedoms. The people need unity.This being American policy before the 70’s.

    Jewish Zionist/Bolshevik Communism, the government, Centralized bankers and Corporations partnered with union labor so to rule over, control and dictate over the common working class peoples. To rule by the Authoritative policy of the Jew controlled government who created economic inequality policy so to give them political advantage over the non-jews in society, making for political oppression and the existance of a high priveledged class who are exempt and not held to the same standards and holds a controlling rule over the oppressed by close study, highly regulated, controlled and monitoring policies enforced onto the people by the government police force, labor unions and ABC soup government agencies whom considers the accused guilty until they can prove their innocence in a court of law. Bribes and kickbacks are accepted resulting in self-serving policy tailored for the special interest over the mass population. The people are seperated by labor unions, economic, political and social barriers exist to prevent unity. Policy is based on expert recomendations from scientific data geared for maximum productivity and profits in serving the zionists without ethic or moral consideration.Rigged election to hold and maintain political power. Been policy presented in America from the 70’s foreward after US trade negotiations with Russia, china and Isreal.

    Musims rule by very strong religious rule according to Torah Law passed on to Moses under the Authority of God in society in both Government and the union labor organizations. To rule over by authority under God, Allah as determined by the religious texts interpreted by tribe elders. Everyone is welcome as long as they obide and follow to these anchient muslim religious texts and beliefs. A society under strong religious ruled policy under God Allah. Judgment is enforced according to the religious law and punishments. Non Muslim must convert to Islam for political involvement but if Muslim is divided by multiple Muslim beliefs, this is anorher form of separation, divide to concur.

    That is why the Zionist Rothschild banksters of England declared war on Italy and Germany when they removed Jews from governance and positions of political influence in their Christian government political system and refused to use the jew controlled Centralized bank system and be oppressed by the jew Marxist political policies leading them to Communism as Russia had fallen to Communism.

    A right to vote on political issues and for electing government representatives was granted to all those who were established US citizens with possession of Land, home or business until the 15th Amendment of the US Constitution in 1870 made it legal for all citizens to vote without discrimination regardless of race color or servitude.

    When immigration from Europe brought Eastern European citizens to the US, many had mixed Socialist and Communist political beliefs that began to influence the US political policies, just like the Europeans, America has to control over the far left Communist political initiatives from allowing them the right to be politically active.

    We have an invisible religious political conflict and each religious political culture is ment to be seperated within borders so that each political system within those borders are ruled by each cultures belief system by polititians and those organizations of strong political influence pertaining to that lands same religious political beliefs.

    Otherwise, there is political unrest and conflict within the region, causing destabilization and political chaos, ending up with strong force of policing that takes away personal liberty and freedoms which is the main communist objective of the Zionists who have taken political control.

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